Institutional context

This member's profile: SEVERE — 5.2% of PAC dollars from tagged committees; 100% on pinned Israel/aid votes since 2024.

Josh Gottheimer

Rep. NJ-5

SEVERE

PAC dependency

5.2%

Share of PAC dollars from tagged committees (2024 cycle).

Tagged / total PAC

$117,173 / $2,236,032

Numerator and denominator for the dependency ratio — every line links to FEC.

Peer context

More PAC-dependent on tagged committees than 95% of House colleagues.

Tagged committee	FEC ID	Amount	Source
NORPAC	C00247403	$83,200	Receipts · Committee
American Israel Public Affairs Committee PAC	C00797670	$33,973	Receipts · Committee

Score rule: influence_formula_v1

Margin test

Tagged PAC support exceeded this race's victory margin.

Tagged PAC $117,173 vs 43,072-vote general election margin (2.7×). Correlation ≠ causation — both figures link to primary sources.

Post–Oct 7 delta

PAC dependency ratio before vs after 7 Oct 2023 (PAS2 transaction dates, 2024 cycle).

0.6%

Pre–Oct 7

7.8%

Post–Oct 7

+7.2pp

Change

Influence stack

Layer toggles

Default ON: direct PAC + documented IE. LDA and FARA live in separate sections — we never merge buckets.

Direct PACOn
Objective
FEC committee → candidate contributions (PAS2 bulk). Default ON.
LDA lobbying
Fuzzy match
Lobbying Disclosure Act filings — confidence-scored member links. Separate bucket.
Open →
FARA foreign gov
Separate tab
Foreign-agent registration spend — never merged with domestic PAC totals.
Open →

Screenshot-ready receipt — OG image at /share/G000583.svg

PAC dependency5

Pinned vote alignment100

Influence Mixer

Sliders re-weight the editorial composite for Josh Gottheimer. Facts do not change — only the formula mix.

Electoral capture (PAC %)Primary pressure (IE)Legislative capture (votes)Arms pipeline relevance

Live composite

SEVERE

Fuzzy overlap from lda.gov filing text — separate legal bucket from PAC $. Not LD-203 conduit data.

Severity is an editorial composite from public records.See the math →