Institutional context

This member's profile: MODERATE — 0.6% of PAC dollars from tagged committees; 100% on pinned Israel/aid votes since 2024.

Michael Lawler

Rep. NY-17

MODERATE

PAC dependency

0.6%

Share of PAC dollars from tagged committees (2024 cycle).

Tagged / total PAC

$80,280 / $13,884,516

Numerator and denominator for the dependency ratio — every line links to FEC.

Peer context

More PAC-dependent on tagged committees than 37% of House colleagues.

Tagged committee	FEC ID	Amount	Source
American Israel Public Affairs Committee PAC	C00797670	$73,680	Receipts · Committee
NORPAC	C00247403	$6,600	Receipts · Committee

Score rule: influence_formula_v1

Margin test

Tagged PAC support exceeded this race's victory margin.

Tagged PAC $80,280 vs 7,025-vote general election margin (11.4×). Correlation ≠ causation — both figures link to primary sources.

Post–Oct 7 delta

PAC dependency ratio before vs after 7 Oct 2023 (PAS2 transaction dates, 2024 cycle).

0.0%

Pre–Oct 7

0.7%

Post–Oct 7

+0.7pp

Change

Influence stack

Layer toggles

Default ON: direct PAC + documented IE. LDA and FARA live in separate sections — we never merge buckets.

Direct PACOn
Objective
FEC committee → candidate contributions (PAS2 bulk). Default ON.
LDA lobbying
Fuzzy match
Lobbying Disclosure Act filings — confidence-scored member links. Separate bucket.
Open →
FARA foreign gov
Separate tab
Foreign-agent registration spend — never merged with domestic PAC totals.
Open →

Screenshot-ready receipt — OG image at /share/L000599.svg

PAC dependency1

Pinned vote alignment100

Influence Mixer

Sliders re-weight the editorial composite for Michael Lawler. Facts do not change — only the formula mix.

Electoral capture (PAC %)Primary pressure (IE)Legislative capture (votes)Arms pipeline relevance

Live composite

MODERATE

Fuzzy overlap from lda.gov filing text — separate legal bucket from PAC $. Not LD-203 conduit data.

Severity is an editorial composite from public records.See the math →